VAPRI
Making infrastructure investable
We show what return a power plant, a transport link or a network needs before investors will finance it.
VAPRI runs macro, project and business risks through your financial model and gives the distribution of each financial metric.
Quantifying and then allocating risk narrows the range of outcomes and lowers the required return.
How VAPRI works
Custom risk modeling
Project, business and macro risks
We combine your risk data with ours, and add external data where yours is thin.
Vallorii data and methods: risks calibrated on market and historical data and reviewed by Vallorii experts.
Vallorii scenario engine
Your financial model
Risks wired into your own model, so the answer stays in your framework.
Financial metric distributions
Thousands of scenarios give the full distribution of each financial metric, such as IRR.
Pricing risk
From a standard rate to a risk-adjusted rate
VAPRI adds a premium for this project's risks to a standard rate, then deducts what better risk allocation saves.
The risk-adjusted rate is the base rate plus the risk premium, less the saving from risk allocation.
Use cases
The distributions answer pricing and financeability questions.
Pricing risk
Price a bid
What return should we bid at, and what is each term worth?
Design risk allocation
Which party should carry each risk, and what is moving it worth?
Evidence a regulatory position
What allowed return does this project need, parameter by parameter?
Financeability and distribution analysis
Assess financeability
Does the plan keep its credit rating, year by year, in each scenario?
Test debt coverage
How do coverage ratios hold up in the downside?