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Asset Intelligence

Know the real assets behind every capital decision

We value a network, cost its obligations, measure its health and forecast its demand, from public records and your data.

Example: a map of small areas switching from gas to heat pumps over time, unevenly across the network.

How Asset Intelligence works

  1. 01

    What drives demand, area by area

    Here, two models of heat pump adoption, for homes and for non-domestic buildings, run for every small UK area from 2022 to 2050 across many scenarios.

  2. 02

    Demand changes unevenly

    Each scenario gives a path for gas demand; together they show the likely change and its uncertainty.

    UK gas demand could fall by 28% to 93% by 2050. Source: Vallorii analysis, reported in Utility Week, Jul 6, 2025.

  3. 03

    Which assets are still needed, and when

    A gas pipe can retire once the areas it serves no longer need it.

  4. 04

    Where asset risk sits, in pounds

    Each asset carries a value, a liability and a health score.

  5. 05

    Where to invest first

    We rank areas by stranding risk, and by where network dependency and deprivation are both high.

    • Stranded pipe by year
    • Emissions avoided
    • Vulnerable areas
    • Investment priorities

Three questions it answers

Network forecasting

For network strategy, planning and regulation teams

Which assets will we still need, and where will new load arrive?

Asset health and liabilities

For network asset, regulation and investment teams

Where does asset risk sit on the network, in pounds?

Value and obligations

For network owners, investors and lenders

What are the assets worth against their regulated value, and what do their obligations cost?

Real examples

Applied to real networks

Built from public data. Naming a company does not mean it gave us data.

Local conditions · Wessex Water area

We map each asset with the weather, ground and people around it

We match weather stations to each census area in the Wessex Water area.

Weather stations matched to each census area in the Wessex Water area
Map © OpenStreetMap contributors

Replacement value · Electricity North West

About 5.7 times its regulated value to rebuild

Rebuilding it would cost about £16.63bn, against a regulated asset value of about £2.9bn (RIIO-ED2, 31 March 2025).

Electricity North West assets valued from open data
Proof of concept, indicativeAsset data: Electricity North West, CC BY 4.0

Cost of compliance · Thames Water

About £5,622m to meet its licence and commitments

We set each asset against its licence conditions and commitments, in 2025-26 prices.

Thames Water cost of compliance by investment
Proof of concept, indicativeAsset inventory includes OpenStreetMap data © OpenStreetMap contributors, ODbL

Asset health · Wessex Water

Take out weather and population, and different areas need attention

Left are 2023 overflows per area; right are the overflows that weather and population do not explain.

Total storm overflows per area in the Wessex Water area, 2023Storm overflows that weather and population do not explain, by area
Prototype, preliminary numbersMaps © OpenStreetMap contributors

New load · England and Wales

About 45% of homes on heat pumps by 2050, from 34% in Wales to 52% in Greater London

Electricity networks see where new heat pumps arrive, by local authority, from 2025 to 2050.

England and Wales: new heat pumps by local authority, 2025 to 2050Share of homes on heat pumps in 2050 across nine regions

Demand to 2050 · England and Wales

Gas for home heating falls a median 56% by 2050 if heat pump grants last, and 37% if they end in 2030

Each grant end year runs 250 scenarios; the chart shows the median and the P10 to P90 range.

Home heating gas demand to 2050 by grant end year, median and P10 to P90

See Asset Intelligence on your network